Viendo archivo del miércoles, 3 noviembre 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Nov 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 307 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 NOV 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY DECREASED TO LOW LEVELS. THERE HAVE
BEEN ONLY MINOR X-RAY ENHANCEMENTS IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. TWO SMALL
SPOT GROUPS WERE NUMBERED TODAY, 8752 (S12E01) AND 8753 (N21 E63).
EXCEPT FOR SOME MINOR MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY IN REGION 8749 (S18W26)
ALL REGIONS ARE STABLE OR DECLINING. THE LARGE EQUATORIAL CORONAL
HOLE WHICH CROSSED CM ON 11 OCT HAS FULLY ROTATED ON TO THE DISK AND
IN SOME WAVELENGTHS APPEARS TO EXTEND TO THE CENTRAL MERIDIAN.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO VERY LOW. THE ACTIVE LONGITUDES OF THE LAST SOLAR ROTATION WILL
ROTATE INTO VIEW OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, HOWEVER, THERE IS CURRENTLY
NO EVIDENCE OF ANY STRONG ACTIVITY IN THIS AREA.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED EARLY IN THE PERIOD. ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AS A CONSEQUENCE OF
THE LARGE EQUATORIAL CORONAL HOLE NOW APPROACHING CM.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 NOV a 06 NOV
| Clase M | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 NOV 143 Previsto 04 NOV-06 NOV 135/130/130 Media de 90 Días 03 NOV 154
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 NOV 004/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 NOV 006/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 NOV-06 NOV 005/007-005/007-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 NOV a 06 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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