Viendo archivo del martes, 2 noviembre 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Nov 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 306 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 NOV 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THERE ARE SEVEN SPOTTED
REGIONS ON THE DISK. MINOR GROWTH AND INCREASED MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY
WERE REPORTED IN REGIONS 8747 (N12W11) AND 8749 (S18W11). ALL OTHER
REGIONS APPEAR STABLE OR DECLINING.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO VERY LOW. LONGITUDES THAT WERE ACTIVE LAST MONTH WILL BE
RETURNING TO THE EAST LIMB OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND MAY RESULT IN
INCREASED ACTIVITY LATE IN THE PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD. THE FIELD MAY BECOME MORE ACTIVE LATE IN THE PERIOD AS A
RESULT OF A SMALL CORONAL HOLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 NOV a 05 NOV
| Clase M | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 NOV 143 Previsto 03 NOV-05 NOV 140/135/130 Media de 90 Días 02 NOV 155
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 NOV 009/010 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 NOV 007/007 PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 NOV-05 NOV 010/009-008/015-008/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 NOV a 05 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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