Viendo archivo del domingo, 31 octubre 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Oct 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 304 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 OCT 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE LARGEST EVENT OF THE
PERIOD WAS A C7/1N FROM REGION 8749 (S19E26) AT 31/0702UT. THERE
ARE 11 SPOTTED REGIONS ON THE DISK, AND EXCEPT FOR SOME MAGNETIC
COMPLEXITY DEVELOPING IN REGION 8749, ALL APPEAR STABLE OR
DECLINING.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN PREDOMINANTLY UNSETTLED. THE GREATER
THAN 2MEV ELECTRONS REACHED HIGH LEVELS AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ALTITUDE
(GOES) AROUND 31/1600UT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
INCREASED LEVELS LATE IN THE PERIOD AS A RESULT OF A CORONAL HOLE
WHICH IS CURRENTLY PASSING THE CENTRAL MERIDIAN IN THE SOUTHERN
HEMISPHERE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 NOV a 03 NOV
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 OCT 160 Previsto 01 NOV-03 NOV 155/150/145 Media de 90 Días 31 OCT 156
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 OCT 004/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 31 OCT 006/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 NOV-03 NOV 008/008-008/008-010/011
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 NOV a 03 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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