Viendo archivo del miércoles, 27 octubre 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Oct 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 300 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 OCT 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. FOUR M-CLASS EVENTS
OCCURRED. THEY WERE AN M3/NO OPTICAL WITH TYPE II AT 26/2125Z, AN
M1/NO OPTICAL AT 0912Z, AN M1/SF WITH TYPE II AT 1337Z FROM REGION
8737 (S13W89), AND FINALLY, AN M1/NO OPTICAL AT 1541Z. LOOPS AND
SURGING ARE OCCURRING ON THE SOUTHWEST LIMB WITH THE DEPARTURE OF
REGION 8737. IT IS LIKELY THAT IMPRESSIVE REGION 8739 (S12W23)
CONTRIBUTED TO THE M-LEVEL ACTIVITY. REGION 8739 HAS A LARGE AREA OF
BRIGHT PLAGE, AND SHOWS A DEGREE OF MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY. ONE OTHER
EVENT OF INTEREST WAS A C5/ NO OPTICAL, WITH TYPE II AT 0430Z. NEWLY
NUMBERED REGION 8746 (S15E28) EMERGED AS A SIMPLE BIPOLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MODERATE TO HIGH. WATCH REGIONS 8739 AND NOW-DEPARTING 8737 FOR
CONTINUED M-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT ATTAINED HIGH LEVELS NEAR
MIDDAY.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY UNSETTLED TO MILDLY ACTIVE THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD. A COMBINATION OF HIGH-SPEED SOLAR WIND AND ENHANCED
SOUTHWARD IMF SHOULD CAUSE OCCASIONAL PERIODS OF ACTIVE TO MINOR
STORM LEVELS, ESPECIALLY DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIMES.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 OCT a 30 OCT
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 OCT 197 Previsto 28 OCT-30 OCT 200/205/205 Media de 90 Días 27 OCT 158
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 26 OCT 006/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 27 OCT 015/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 28 OCT-30 OCT 015/015-015/020-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 OCT a 30 OCT
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 20 marzo 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Últimos mensajes del foro
AR 3637, 3638, 3643 87Unproven theories 341Space Weather Memes 338Filaments and prominences 55Growth of Cycle 25 433
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/04/25 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/04/19 | Kp7 (G3) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| marzo 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 133.9 +26.6 |