Viendo archivo del martes, 13 abril 1999

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Apr 13 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 103 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 APR 1999

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LOW. THE CURRENT ACTIVE REGIONS REMAIN SMALL AND GENERALLY UNINTERESTING. CLASS C EVENTS ARE OCCURRING AT THE RATE OF ABOUT ONE PER DAY. A NEW REGION (REGION 8515, S20E06) HAS APPEARED. ONGOING CORONAL ACTIVITY IN THE EASTERN HEMISPHERE HAS CULMINATED IN A PARTIAL HALO CME FIRST VISIBLE AT 14/0330UT. THE EVENT EXTENDED 220 DEGREES OVER THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST SOLAR LIMB.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY, AS MEASURED BY FLARE OCCURRENCE, IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW. CORONAL MASS EJECTION ACTIVITY MAY WELL CONTINUE AT A LEVEL ENHANCED FROM THE LEVELS OF THE LAST FEW DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE OR MINOR STORM LEVELS OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 APR a 16 APR
Clase M15%15%15%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 APR 130
  Previsto   14 APR-16 APR  128/125/123
  Media de 90 Días        13 APR 135
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 APR  006/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 APR  004/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 APR-16 APR  010/012-040/030-020/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 APR a 16 APR
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%25%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%25%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo10%10%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

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