Viendo archivo del lunes, 8 marzo 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Mar 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 067 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 MAR 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. THERE WERE TWO X-RAY
EVENTS THIS PERIOD, ONE WAS AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED C7 AT 08/0031Z
AND THE OTHER WAS A M2/SF AT 08/0637Z FROM REGION 8484 (S22E76).
THREE NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED TODAY AS REGION 8484, REGION 8485
(N22E66), AND REGION 8486 (S25W12).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. MINOR STORM CONDITIONS AT
HIGH LATITUDES WERE OBSERVED AT 07/2100Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ISOLATED ACTIVE CONDITIONS
THE FIRST DAY OF THE FORECAST. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD SHOULD BE
AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 MAR a 11 MAR
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 MAR 127 Previsto 09 MAR-11 MAR 132/138/145 Media de 90 Días 08 MAR 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 MAR 014/025 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 MAR 015/016 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 MAR-11 MAR 015/012-010/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 MAR a 11 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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