Viendo archivo del miércoles, 3 febrero 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Feb 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 034 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 FEB 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW DUE TO AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED
C1 FLARE AT 0152Z. REGION 8453 (S26E32) SHOWED SLOW GROWTH DURING
THE PAST 24 HOURS, BUT WAS ESSENTIALLY STABLE. THE REMAINING TWO
SUNSPOT REGIONS WERE VERY QUIET AND STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. REGION 8453 MAY PRODUCE AN OCCASIONAL C-CLASS EVENT IF
CURRENT GROWTH CONTINUES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET AT ALL LATITIDES.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. OCCASIONAL
PERIODS OF ENHANCED ACTIVITY ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO CORONAL HOLE
EFFECTS. THE HOLE IS OF SUFFICIENTLY HIGH LATITUDE, HOWEVER, THAT
SUSTAINED ACTIVITY IS UNLIKELY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 FEB a 06 FEB
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 FEB 109 Previsto 04 FEB-06 FEB 110/110/115 Media de 90 Días 03 FEB 143
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 FEB 003/002 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 FEB 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 FEB-06 FEB 010/012-010/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 FEB a 06 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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