Viendo archivo del jueves, 28 enero 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Jan 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 028 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 JAN 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LOW. THE CURRENT ACTIVE
REGIONS HAVE SHOWN LITTLE CHANGE AS THEY PRODUCE MINOR FLARES.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW TO LOW WITH SMALL X-RAY EVENTS REACHING TO ABOUT CLASS C
THRESHOLDS FROM THE CURRENT ACTIVE REGIONS. AT THIS POINT, THE
BEST PROSPECTS FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY MIGHT BE IN ASSOCIATION
WITH FILAMENT ACTIVITY. THE LONG FILAMENT STRUCTURES NOW VISIBLE ON
THE SOLAR FACE ARE INDICATIVE OF CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT AND
RESTRUCTURING OF LARGE SCALE FIELDS AS THE NEW CYCLE CONTINUES TO
BUILD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY HAS BEEN UNSETTLED. ENERGETIC PARTICLE FLUXES
CONTINUE THEIR DECLINE FROM THE SMALL ENHANCEMENT OF JANUARY 25 AND
ARE NEARING THEIR NORMAL QUIET LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 JAN a 31 JAN
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 JAN 119 Previsto 29 JAN-31 JAN 112/110/110 Media de 90 Días 28 JAN 144
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 27 JAN 006/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 28 JAN 007/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 29 JAN-31 JAN 006/008-005/005-006/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 JAN a 31 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 02% | 02% | 02% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 02% | 02% | 02% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 06% | 06% | 07% |
| Tormenta Menor | 03% | 03% | 03% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 02% | 02% | 02% |
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