Viendo archivo del viernes, 4 diciembre 1998

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Dec 04 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 338 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 DEC 1998

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. FOUR MINOR C-CLASS X-RAY EVENTS OCCURRED, TWO UNCORRELATED, AND ONE EACH FROM REGIONS 8402 (N17E30) AND 8399 (N20W40). OF THE SEVEN ACTIVE REGIONS ON THE VISIBLE DISK, 8402 AND 8395 REMAIN THE MOST COMPLEX. REGION 8402 HAS GROWN SLIGHTLY SINCE YESTERDAY, AND IS CURRENTLY A 22-SPOT 'FSO' GROUP, WITH A BETA-GAMMA-DELTA MAGNETIC CLASSIFICATION AS REPORTED BY THE MT. WILSON OBSERVATORY. REGION 8395 (N20W40) HAS BEEN RELATIVELY STABLE DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS, AND IS NOW AN 11-SPOT 'FSO' GROUP, WITH A BETA-GAMMA MAGNETIC CLASSIFICATION BY MT. WILSON. NEW REGION 8403 (N20E37), A SMALL 'HSX' ALPHA GROUP WAS NUMBERED LATE YESTERDAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE, WITH THE CONTINUED LIKLIHOOD OF C-CLASS, AND POSSIBILITY OF M-CLASS, EVENTS FROM REGIONS 8395 AND 8402.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 DEC a 07 DEC
Clase M25%25%25%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       04 DEC 148
  Previsto   05 DEC-07 DEC  147/146/145
  Media de 90 Días        04 DEC 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 DEC  007/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 DEC  010/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 DEC-07 DEC  010/010-010/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 DEC a 07 DEC
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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