Viendo archivo del lunes, 19 octubre 1998

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Oct 19 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 292 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 OCT 1998

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY DECREASED TO LOW LEVELS. REGION 8361 (N14W66) GREW SLOWLY AND PRODUCED SEVERAL SUBFLARES, TWO OF WHICH REACHED C-CLASS. THE LARGEST OF THESE WAS A C7/1N AT 19/1231Z ASSOCIATED WITH MINOR DISCRETE RADIO EMISSION. REGION 8358 (N15W82) STABILIZED AS IT APPROACHED THE WEST LIMB. NO NEW REGIONS WERE ASSIGNED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT LOW LEVELS. REGION 8361 IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL C-CLASS FLARES BEFORE DEPARTING THE WEST LIMB ON 22 OCTOBER. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE FROM THIS REGION.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD REACHED STORM LEVELS IN RESPONSE TO A CORONAL MASS EJECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FILAMENT DISAPPEARANCE OF 15 OCTOBER. ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM LEVELS WERE DETECTED AT MIDDLE LATITUDES WHILE THE HIGH LATITUDES EXPERIENCED ACTIVE TO MAJOR STORM LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE AT UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS WITH MINOR STORM LEVELS POSSIBLE AT HIGH LATITUDES. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED IN RESPONSE TO A HIGH-SPEED CORONAL HOLE WIND STREAM.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 OCT a 22 OCT
Clase M25%20%15%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 OCT 118
  Previsto   20 OCT-22 OCT  115/115/115
  Media de 90 Días        19 OCT 132
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 18 OCT  007/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 OCT  035/050
PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 OCT-22 OCT  015/030-015/020-015/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 OCT a 22 OCT
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo35%35%35%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%35%35%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!

23%
Apoya a SpaceWeatherLive con nuestro merchandise
Échale un ojo a nuestro merchandise

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X2024/03/28X1.1
Último evento clase M2024/03/29M3.2
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas2024/03/25Kp5 (G1)
Días sin manchas
Último día sin manchas2022/06/08
Promedio de manchas solares mensuales
febrero 2024124.7 +1.7

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
12001X2.45
22014X1.45
32023X1.2
42024M3.2
52001M3.13
ApG
1199928G2
2200337G1
3201328G1
4200122G1
5199820G1
*desde 1994

Redes sociales