Viendo archivo del viernes, 27 marzo 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Mar 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 086 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 MAR 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A C1 LONG DURATION EVENT WITH A
TYPE II RADIO SWEEP OCCURRED AT 27/0046Z. GROUND AND SPACE BASED
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE REGION 8188 (N30E30) AS THE SOURCE REGION. A
CME IN THE NE QUADRANT OF THE DISK WAS LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FLARE. REGION 8185 (S25W03) ALSO PRODUCED A C1/SF AT 27/1603Z.
SEVERAL OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED RADIO BURSTS AND SWEEPS ALSO OCCURRED
INCLUDING A 610MHZ, 2700SFU BURST AT 27/1454Z. NEW REGION 8189
(S27W17) WAS NUMBERED TODAY AND PRODUCED A C1/SF AT 27/1323Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE LOW TO
MODERATE THROUGH THE PERIOD. REGION 8185 REMAINS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENTS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD BE
QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 MAR a 30 MAR
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 MAR 108 Previsto 28 MAR-30 MAR 108/105/105 Media de 90 Días 27 MAR 099
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 26 MAR 009/010 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 27 MAR 014/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 28 MAR-30 MAR 010/010-010/010-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 MAR a 30 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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