Viendo archivo del lunes, 26 enero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jan 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 026 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 JAN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY ROSE TO MODERATE LEVELS DURING THE
PERIOD. REGION 8145 (N28E35) PRODUCED AN M1/1B FLARE AT 25/2136UT
ACCOMPANIED BY MINOR DISCRETE RADIO BURSTS. THE REGION WAS A SMALL,
STABLE BIPOLE BOTH BEFORE AND AFTER THE FLARE. REGION 8143 CONTINUED
TO DISPLAY MODEST GROWTH IN SPOT COUNT AND MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY AND
PRODUCED ISOLATED SUBFLARES. REGION 8142 (S22W45) PRODUCED AN
ISOLATED C-CLASS SUBFLARE. NO NEW REGIONS WERE ASSIGNED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO BE LOW.
REGIONS 8142 AND 8143 ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ISOLATED B- AND
C-CLASS SUBFLARES. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED
M-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET THROUGH 28 JANUARY. A DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED
TO BEGIN ON 29 JANUARY IN RESPONSE TO A PARTIAL-HALO CME DETECTED ON
25 JANUARY. ACTIVE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL LATITUDES DURING THE
DISTURBANCE. ISOLATED MINOR TO MAJOR STORM PERIODS MAY OCCUR AS
WELL.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 JAN a 29 JAN
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 JAN 100 Previsto 27 JAN-29 JAN 100/100/100 Media de 90 Días 26 JAN 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 JAN 007/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 JAN 002/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 JAN-29 JAN 005/005-005/005-020/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 JAN a 29 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 60% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 70% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 10% |
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