Viendo archivo del martes, 18 noviembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Nov 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 322 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 NOV 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8108 (N19E16)
GENERATED JUST B-CLASS EVENTS AS IT SIMPLIFIED MAGNETICALLY DURING
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE MIXED POLARITIES IN THE DOMINANT LEADER SPOT
HAVE WEAKENED SINCE YESTERDAY, RESULTING IN RELAXED GRADIENTS. THE
REGION NUMBERS APPROXIMATELY 35 SPOTS AND MEASURES 350 MILLIONTHS IN
WHITE LIGHT AREA. NEWLY ASSIGNED REGION 8110 (N27E54) EMERGED AS A
SINGLE SPOT WITH LITTLE PLAGE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. REGION 8108 RETAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR C AND M-CLASS
FLARES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET. ONE SHORT-LIVED PERIOD
OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS OCCURRED FROM 1200-1500Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF ACTIVE CONDITIONS DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIMES.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 NOV a 21 NOV
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 NOV 092 Previsto 19 NOV-21 NOV 095/095/095 Media de 90 Días 18 NOV 091
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 17 NOV 009/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 18 NOV 008/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 19 NOV-21 NOV 015/010-015/015-015/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 NOV a 21 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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