Viendo archivo del miércoles, 17 septiembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Sep 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 260 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 SEP 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGION 8084 (N22W88), NOW
DECAYED INTO A DRO GROUP OF 6 SPOTS AS IT NEARS THE WEST LIMB,
PRODUCED AN M1.7/SN FLARE AT 17/1143Z AND AN M1/SF FLARE AT
17/1803Z. THIS REGION ALSO PRODUCED A C3/SF FLARE AT 16/2222Z.
REGION 8085 (S25W72) MANAGED TO PRODUCE A C1/SF FLARE AS IT NEARED
THE WEST LIMB. THIS REGION IS NOW CLASSIFIED AS AN HAX SPOT GROUP.
REGION 8086 (N27E00) HAS ELONGATED BUT DECAYED SLIGHTLY OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS AND WAS RELATIVELY QUIET. TWO UNCORRELATED C1 FLARES
WERE DETECTED AS WELL.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
REGION 8084 AND 8086 STILL HAVE A FAIR CHANCE OF C-CLASS FLARING AND
A SMALL CHANCE OF AN OCCASIONAL ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE. REGION 8085
HAS A FAIR CHANCE OF C-CLASS FLARING.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT ALL LATITUDES. THE
GREATER THAN 2 MEV ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUX REMAINED AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 SEP a 20 SEP
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 SEP 093 Previsto 18 SEP-20 SEP 090/086/082 Media de 90 Días 17 SEP 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 16 SEP 007/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 17 SEP 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 18 SEP-20 SEP 010/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 SEP a 20 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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