Viendo archivo del miércoles, 13 agosto 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Aug 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 225 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 AUG 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A FEW, LOW LEVEL B-CLASS
FLARES WERE OBSERVED. REGION 8070 (S19W54) SHOWED STEADY GROWTH AND
FREQUENT PLAGE FLUCTUATIONS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. REGION 8071
(N26W06) ALSO SHOWED OCCASIONAL BRIGHTENINGS BUT WAS OTHERWISE VERY
STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. REGION 8070 COULD PRODUCE A C-CLASS EVENT IF THE CURRENT
GROWTH TREND CONTINUES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. QUIET CONDITIONS
PREDOMINATED FOR MOST OF THE DAY, BUT A PERIOD OF UNSETTLED TO
ACTIVE CONDITIONS WAS OBSERVED FROM 0600-1200Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 AUG a 16 AUG
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 AUG 082 Previsto 14 AUG-16 AUG 084/085/085 Media de 90 Días 13 AUG 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 AUG 007/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 AUG 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 AUG-16 AUG 005/010-005/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 AUG a 16 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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