Viendo archivo de sábado, 19 octubre 1996

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Oct 19 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 293 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 OCT 1996

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. HOWEVER, A LARGE FILAMENT LOCATED BETWEEN S28E61-S33E80 BEGAN TO DISAPPEAR NEAR 19/1600Z. THIS FILAMENT BECAME AN ERUPTIVE PROMINENCE AS IT CONTINUED OUT BEYOND THE LIMB NEAR S28 TO A MAXIMUM HEIGHT OF 0.4R BEFORE FADING IN H-ALPHA. A LONG DURATION SOFT X-RAY ENHANCEMENT BEGAN NEAR 19/1625Z AND REACHED A MAXIMUM OF A6 AT 19/1738Z. THE DECAY OF THIS X-RAY EVENT CONTINUES AT ISSUE TIME. IT IS CERTAIN THIS EVENT REPRESENTS A LARGE CORONAL MASS EJECTION. A NEW SMALL REGION IS APPEARING AT APPROXIMATELY N15E90 IN RECENT YOHKOH IMAGES.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT A VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 18/2100Z TO 19/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED BETWEEN UNSETTLED AND MINOR STORM LEVELS DURING THE PERIOD AS THE CORONAL HOLE RELATED DISTURBANCE CONTINUED. SOME HIGH LATITUDE SITES EXPERIENCED PERIODS OF MAJOR STORMING. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD REMAIN AT UNSETTLED TO MINOR STORM LEVELS FOR 20 OCT AND EARLY 21 OCT. UNSETTLED TO SLIGHTLY ACTIVE CONDITIONS SHOULD BE EXPERIENCED FOR THE LATTER HALF OF 21 OCT AND THROUGH 22 OCT. THE PROBABLE CME MENTIONED ABOVE IS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE EARTH DUE TO ITS MODERATELY HIGH LATITUDE, NEAR EAST LIMB LOCATION, AND APPARENT TRAJECTORY OUT OF THE ECLIPTIC PLANE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 OCT a 22 OCT
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 OCT  071
  Previsto   20 OCT-22 OCT  071/071/071
  Media de 90 Días        19 OCT  071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 18 OCT  025/021
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 OCT  023/028
PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 OCT-22 OCT  020/025-012/015-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 OCT a 22 OCT
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%25%20%
Tormenta Menor35%15%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%25%20%
Tormenta Menor40%25%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

< < Ir a la visión general diaria

Últimas noticias

Apoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!

Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!

11%

Hechos clima espacial

Último evento clase X:10/09/2017X8.2
Último evento clase M:20/10/2017M1.0
Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas:26/10/2019Kp5 (G1)
Número de días sin manchas en el año 2020:16
Último día sin manchas:23/01/2020

Efemérides*

Llamarada solar
12015M2.1
22015C8.4
32015C8.2
42015C7.6
52014C7.3
ApG
1199533G2
2200030G1
3200728G1
4200520
5199619
*desde 1994

Redes sociales