Viendo archivo del miércoles, 28 agosto 1996

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Aug 28 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 241 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 AUG 1996

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7986 (S12E12) PRODUCED A SINGLE C1/SF EVENT AT 28/0806Z. THE REGION APPEARS STABLE AT THIS TIME AS A THREE SPOT HSX GROUP. A DSF, SEVEN DEGREES LONG WITH A GEOMETRIC CENTER AT N28E43, WAS RECORDED OVERNIGHT.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW, WITH A CONTINUED 40 PERCENT CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL ISOLATED C-CLASS X-RAY EVENTS FROM REGION 7986.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS CONTINUE TO FLUCTUATE IN THE MODERATE TO HIGH RANGE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AND THEN INCREASING TO MOSTLY UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE, WITH INCREASED CHANCES FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF MINOR/MAJOR STORMING, ON DAYS TWO AND THREE DUE TO THE ROTATION OF A FAVORABLY POSITIONED CORONAL HOLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 AUG a 31 AUG
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       28 AUG  073
  Previsto   29 AUG-31 AUG  075/075/074
  Media de 90 Días        28 AUG  071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 27 AUG  016/014
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 28 AUG  015/015
PREDICTED AFR/AP 29 AUG-31 AUG  020/020-020/020-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 AUG a 31 AUG
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%50%30%
Tormenta Menor25%25%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%10%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%50%30%
Tormenta Menor25%30%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%15%15%

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