Viendo archivo del lunes, 26 agosto 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Aug 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 239 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 AUG 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 7986 (S12E43)
CONTINUES TO GROW IN SIZE AND NUMBER OF SUNSPOTS, AND PRODUCED
FOUR OPTICALLY CORRELATED B-CLASS EVENTS DURING THE REPORTING
PERIOD, THE LARGEST A B5/SF AT 26/1820Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW, WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF ISOLATED C0Z TO 26/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS
EXCEEDED THE HIGH THRESHOLD AT 26/0835Z, DROPPEOXIMATELY 26/1400Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND THEN
UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE WITH INCREASED PROBABILITIES FOR ISOLATED
MINOR STORM INTERVALS ON DAY THREE DUE TO THE ROTATION OF A
LARGE, FAVORABLY POSITIONED CORONAL HOLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 AUG a 29 AUG
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 AUG 074 Previsto 27 AUG-29 AUG 077/078/078 Media de 90 Días 26 AUG 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 AUG 018/015
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 AUG 015/015
PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 AUG-29 AUG 015/015-015/015-020/020
20/20/30
Tormenta Menor 10% 10% 15% Tormenta Mayor-Severa 05% 05% 10% | B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 10% |
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