Space Weather Forecast - Discussion

Issued: 2019 Jan 17 0030 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Solar activity

24 h Summary
Solar activity remained very low and the visible disk was spotless. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.
Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low all three days (17-19 Jan).

Energetic Particles

24 h Summary
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.
Forecast
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is anticipated to continue at normal levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels all three days (17-19 Jan).

Solar Wind

24 h Summary
Solar wind parameters were indicative of a slow, but mildly disturbed environment. Total IMF strength was steady at mainly 4 to 5 nT, before an increase to 7nT after 16/1800 UTC. The Bz component underwent primarily weak deviations until about 16/1800 UTC, when it turned mainly southward. Solar wind speed averaged between 350-400 km/s. The phi angle was predominantly negative.
Forecast
A primarily slow solar wind regime is expected to continue all three days (17-19 Jan).

Geospace

24 h Summary
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet, with an isolated unsettled period at the end of the day.
Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain mostly quiet, with possible isolated unsettled periods, all three days (17-19 Jan).

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Space weather facts

Last X-flare:2017/09/10X8.2
Last M-flare:2017/10/20M1.0
Last geomagnetic storm:2019/01/05Kp5 (G1)
Number of spotless days in 2019:10
Current stretch spotless days:11

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