Two coronal mass ejections, G3 storm watch

Tuesday, 29 March 2022 18:03 UTC

Two coronal mass ejections, G3 storm watch

What an exciting two days we are having, sunspot regions 2978 and especially 2975 are really delivering with the latter group producing countless of C-class solar flares and even a couple of M-class solar flares. Yesterday's M4.0 solar flare of course being the strongest thus far. This M4.0 solar flare and a smaller M1 solar flare launched two coronal mass ejections into space, both of which have an earth-directed component. Sunspot region 2975 remains a very complex Beta-Gamma-Delta sunspot region which is capable of more M-class activity, and perhaps even a low X-class flare.

The NOAA SWPC has modeled (see the tweet below) both coronal mass ejections into their WSA-ENLIL solar wind model and predicts the two plasma clouds to merge into one. This is due to the fact that the second coronal mass ejection from the M1 solar flare is faster than the M4.0 coronal mass ejection that was launched just hours earlier. What this will do for the strength of the combined cloud at impact is anyone's guess. Will their combined effects disturb the interplanetary magnetic field and make it a weak impact or are we going to see a really dense cloud with favorable magnetic characteristics? We will have to wait and see but as you can see on the model run, the NOAA SWPC expects an impact just after midnight UTC on Thursday, 31 March. Do we expect a geomagnetic storm? Oh yes we do! The NOAA SWPC has just moments ago upgraded their storm watch to a strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch which equals a Kp-value of 7. If we do reach the G3 geomagnetic storm threshold, aurora might become visible from locations like southern England, the Netherlands, Wellington (New Zealand) and Denver, CO (USA).

Thank you for reading this article! Did you have any trouble with the technical terms used in this article? Our help section is the place to be where you can find in-depth articles, a FAQ and a list with common abbreviations. Still puzzled? Just post on our forum where we will help you the best we can! Never want to miss out on a space weather event or one of our news articles again? Subscribe to our mailing list, follow us on Twitter and Facebook and download the SpaceWeatherLive app for Android and iOS!

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

23%
Support SpaceWeatherLive with our merchandise
Check out our merchandise

Latest alerts

Get instant alerts!

Space weather facts

Last X-flare2024/03/23X1.1
Last M-flare2024/03/28M7.0
Last geomagnetic storm2024/03/25Kp5 (G1)
Spotless days
Last spotless day2022/06/08
Monthly mean Sunspot Number
February 2024124.7 +1.7

This day in history*

Solar flares
12024M7.0
22001M6.17
32000M4.46
42022M4.0
52014M3.79
ApG
1200144G2
2200327G2
3199721G2
4201727G1
5200421G1
*since 1994

Social networks