Tuesday, 18 April 2017 - 21:50 UTC
The remnants of old sunspot region 2644 (which was responsible for seven M-class solar flares during the first few days of this month) have now rotated back onto the earth-facing solar disk. It should receive sunspot number 2651 later today from the NOAA SWPC.
While this sunspot region is still too close to the eastern solar limb to accurately analyse its magnetic layout, we do see a couple of sunspots that survived the trip around the far side of the Sun. We do have to conclude that the region decayed quite a bit while transiting the far side but it is still showing signs of life as it produced two interesting C-class solar flares today.
⇧ SDO/HMI images showing old sunspot region 2644. Images available on our SDO page.
The first C-class solar flare it produced today was an C3.3 event that peaked at 09:41 UTC. It was eruptive and produced a minor coronal mass ejection that was not earth-directed. Another C-class solar flare peaked today at 20:10 UTC and reached C5.5. This C5.5 solar flare was a very long duration event and also very likely to be eruptive as seen on SDO imagery. The event even produced Type II and IV radio sweeps. There is no coronagraph imagery available yet to confirm this but the plasma cloud launched by the C5.5 solar flare is also likely not directed towards Earth.
⇧ Solar flare chart of the past 24 hours. Noteworthy are the two C-class solar flares. Live graph on this page.
A coronal hole solar wind stream was expected to arrive yesterday and minor G1 geomagnetic storm conditions were possible. The stream however never arrived yesterday and no storm conditions were observed. The coronal opening was likely too far south on the solar disk to affect our planet. Instead, we are seeing a rise in the solar wind density right now which likely comes from the leading edge of the coronal hole solar wind stream that was expected to arrive yesterday. This solar wind likely comes from a more northward opening in the solar corona. A minor G1 geomagnetic storm watch remains in place for the coming 24 hours.
|Predicted Kp max||4|
|M-class solar flare||10%|
|X-class solar flare||1%|
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|Last geomagnetic storm:||2017/08/18||Kp5 (G1)|
|Number of spotless days in 2017:||56|
|Last spotless day:||2017/08/01|