Viewing archive of Friday, 12 February 2021

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2021 Feb 12 2205 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 43 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Feb 2021

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11-2100Z to 12-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (13 Feb, 14 Feb, 15 Feb).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11-2100Z to 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 360 km/s at 11/2257Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 12/1905Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 12/1848Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (13 Feb, 14 Feb) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (15 Feb).
III. Event Probabilities 13 Feb to 15 Feb
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       12 Feb 072
  Predicted   13 Feb-15 Feb 072/072/072
  90 Day Mean        12 Feb 082

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 11 Feb  002/002
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 12 Feb  003/004
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 13 Feb-15 Feb  010/012-009/012-007/010

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Feb to 15 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%30%40%
Minor storm01%10%30%
Major-severe storm01%01%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%05%
Minor storm20%25%20%
Major-severe storm15%40%65%

All times in UTC

<< Go to daily overview page

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

77%
Support SpaceWeatherLive with our merchandise
Check out our merchandise

Latest alerts

Get instant alerts!

Space weather facts

Last X-flare2024/06/10X1.55
Last M-flare2024/06/20M5.6
Last geomagnetic storm2024/06/15Kp5+ (G1)
Spotless days
Last spotless day2022/06/08
Monthly mean Sunspot Number
May 2024171.7 +35.2
June 2024157.4 -14.3
Last 30 days147.3 -15.3

This day in history*

Solar flares
12015M5.54
22013M4.18
32015M3.85
42015M2.91
52000M1.99
DstG
11961-83.00G3
21958-78.00G2
31970-66.00G1
42003-50.00G1
51972-50.00
*since 1994

Social networks