Viewing archive of Wednesday, 29 July 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jul 29 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 211 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jul 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (30 Jul, 31 Jul, 01 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 378 km/s at 28/2102Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
29/1941Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
29/0505Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 268 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (30 Jul, 31 Jul, 01
Aug).
III. Event Probabilities 30 Jul to 01 Aug
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Jul 073 Predicted 30 Jul-01 Aug 072/072/072 90 Day Mean 29 Jul 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jul NA/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Jul 004/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Jul-01 Aug 005/005-006/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jul to 01 Aug
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
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