Viewing archive of Friday, 10 July 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jul 10 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 192 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Jul 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (11 Jul, 12 Jul, 13 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 346 km/s at 10/1730Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 224 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (11 Jul) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (12 Jul, 13 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 11 Jul to 13 Jul
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 Jul 069 Predicted 11 Jul-13 Jul 069/069/068 90 Day Mean 10 Jul 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Jul 004/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Jul 003/003 Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Jul-13 Jul 006/005-010/010-009/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Jul to 13 Jul
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 30% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 30% | 25% |
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