Viewing archive of Wednesday, 1 July 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jul 01 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 183 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jul 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (02 Jul, 03 Jul, 04 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 353 km/s at 01/0632Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
01/1846Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
01/1846Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 159 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (02 Jul, 03 Jul, 04
Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 02 Jul to 04 Jul
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Jul 068 Predicted 02 Jul-04 Jul 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 01 Jul 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Jun 005/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Jul 006/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Jul-04 Jul 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jul to 04 Jul
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
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