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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jun 25 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 177 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Jun 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (26 Jun, 27 Jun, 28 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 463 km/s at 25/0255Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 25/1034Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 25/1944Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 179 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and three (26 Jun, 28 Jun) and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (27 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 26 Jun to 28 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 Jun 069
  Predicted   26 Jun-28 Jun 069/069/069
  90 Day Mean        25 Jun 069

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 24 Jun  007/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 25 Jun  006/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 26 Jun-28 Jun  005/005-008/008-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Jun to 28 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%15%05%
Minor storm01%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm15%25%15%
Major-severe storm10%20%10%

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