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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jun 03 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 155 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jun 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (04 Jun, 05 Jun, 06 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 359 km/s at 03/0449Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 02/2100Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 03/0114Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 152 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (04 Jun, 05 Jun) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (06 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 04 Jun to 06 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       03 Jun 070
  Predicted   04 Jun-06 Jun 070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        03 Jun 070

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jun  007/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 03 Jun  004/004
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun  005/005-006/005-007/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jun to 06 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%15%
Minor storm20%20%25%
Major-severe storm10%10%10%

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