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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Mar 24 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 84 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Mar 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (25 Mar, 26 Mar, 27 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 494 km/s at 23/2105Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 24/0017Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 24/0021Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1303 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (25 Mar, 26 Mar, 27 Mar).
III. Event Probabilities 25 Mar to 27 Mar
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       24 Mar 071
  Predicted   25 Mar-27 Mar 071/071/071
  90 Day Mean        24 Mar 071

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 23 Mar  010/010
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 24 Mar  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 25 Mar-27 Mar  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Mar to 27 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm15%15%15%
Major-severe storm10%10%10%

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