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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2019 Jun 07 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 158 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jun 2019

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (08 Jun, 09 Jun, 10 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 312 km/s at 07/1118Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 07/1308Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 07/1600Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 205 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (08 Jun, 09 Jun) and quiet levels on day three (10 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Jun to 10 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 Jun 069
  Predicted   08 Jun-10 Jun 070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        07 Jun 072

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jun  004/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 07 Jun  005/006
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 08 Jun-10 Jun  008/010-009/008-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jun to 10 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%15%10%
Minor storm05%05%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm30%30%20%
Major-severe storm30%25%10%

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