Viewing archive of Monday, 5 November 2018

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2018 Nov 05 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 309 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Nov 2018

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (06 Nov, 07 Nov, 08 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to major storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 631 km/s at 05/0508Z. Total IMF reached 16 nT at 04/2229Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -11 nT at 04/2219Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3131 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels on day one (06 Nov), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (07 Nov) and quiet levels on day three (08 Nov).
III. Event Probabilities 06 Nov to 08 Nov
Class M 01%01%01%
Class X 01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       05 Nov 068
  Predicted    06 Nov-08 Nov 068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        05 Nov 069

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 04 Nov  007/010
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 05 Nov  023/038
  Predicted     Afr/Ap 06 Nov-08 Nov  011/015-008/008-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Nov to 08 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%25%10%
Minor storm 15%05%01%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%15%15%
Minor storm 25%30%20%
Major-severe storm 50%40%20%

<< Go to daily overview page

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

93%

Latest alerts

Get instant alerts!

Space weather facts

Last X-flare:2017/09/10X8.2
Last M-flare:2017/10/20M1.0
Last geomagnetic storm:2019/06/08Kp5 (G1)
Number of spotless days in 2019:110
Last spotless day:2019/06/23

This day in history*

Solar flares
11999M2.3
22004C8.6
32001C7.1
41999C7.0
52000C5.6
ApG
1199842G2
2200040G2
3199425
4201820G1
5199918G1
*since 1994

Social networks