Viewing archive of Wednesday, 13 June 2018

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2018 Jun 13 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 164 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jun 2018

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (14 Jun, 15 Jun, 16 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 829 km/s at 13/0158Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 13/1839Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 13/1657Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1544 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (14 Jun, 15 Jun, 16 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 14 Jun to 16 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       13 Jun 071
  Predicted   14 Jun-16 Jun 072/072/072
  90 Day Mean        13 Jun 070

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jun  005/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 13 Jun  007/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun  006/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jun to 16 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm20%20%20%
Major-severe storm10%10%10%

<< Go to daily overview page

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

1%

Space weather facts

Last X-flare:2017/09/10X8.2
Last M-flare:2017/10/20M1.0
Last geomagnetic storm:2019/10/26Kp5 (G1)
Number of spotless days in 2020:11
Current stretch spotless days:9

This day in history*

Solar flares
12005X1.3
22005M6.7
32012M3.2
42005M2.7
52010M2.3
ApG
1200560G3
2199425G1
3200418
4200318
5200214
*since 1994

Social networks