Viewing archive of Wednesday, 25 August 2010
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Aug 25 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 237 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Aug 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels. No flares
were observed over the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is forecast to be very
low for the next 3 days (26-28 August).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled to active with a period of
minor storming between 25/00Z and 25/06Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
forecast to be mostly unsettled to active with a chance for an
isolated period of minor storming for the next 3 days (26-28
August).
III. Event Probabilities 26 Aug to 28 Aug
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Aug 074 Predicted 26 Aug-28 Aug 075/075/075 90 Day Mean 25 Aug 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Aug 013/018 Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Aug 018/020 Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Aug-28 Aug 012/015-008/010-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Aug to 28 Aug
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 50% | 40% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 15% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 01% | 01% |
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