Viewing archive of Sunday, 4 February 2007

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Feb 04 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 035 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Feb 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low with just a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days.
III. Event Probabilities 05 Feb to 07 Feb
Class M 01%01%01%
Class X 01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       04 Feb 084
  Predicted    05 Feb-07 Feb  084/084/084
  90 Day Mean        04 Feb 085
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 03 Feb  001/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 04 Feb  005/005
  Predicted     Afr/Ap 05 Feb-07 Feb  005/005-005/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Feb to 07 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm 05%05%05%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm 05%05%05%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%

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