Viewing archive of Saturday, 3 February 2007

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Feb 03 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 034 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Feb 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (4-6 February)
III. Event Probabilities 04 Feb to 06 Feb
Class M 05%05%05%
Class X 01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       03 Feb 087
  Predicted    04 Feb-06 Feb  088/088/088
  90 Day Mean        03 Feb 085
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 02 Feb  002/002
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 03 Feb  005/005
  Predicted     Afr/Ap 04 Feb-06 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Feb to 06 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm 05%05%05%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm 05%05%05%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%

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