Viewing archive of Friday, 2 February 2007

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Feb 02 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 033 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Feb 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 03 Feb to 05 Feb
Class M 05%05%10%
Class X 01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 Feb 090
  Predicted    03 Feb-05 Feb  090/090/090
  90 Day Mean        02 Feb 085
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 01 Feb  007/008
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 02 Feb  005/005
  Predicted     Afr/Ap 03 Feb-05 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Feb to 05 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm 01%01%01%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%15%15%
Minor storm 10%05%05%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%

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