Viewing archive of Sunday, 7 January 2007

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Jan 07 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 007 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jan 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

Solar activity continues at very low levels. The four active regions on the visible disk are stable or in decay.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet with isolated unsettled periods.
III. Event Probabilities 08 Jan to 10 Jan
Class M 01%01%01%
Class X 01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 Jan 087
  Predicted    08 Jan-10 Jan  090/090/090
  90 Day Mean        07 Jan 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jan  002/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 07 Jan  003/005
  Predicted     Afr/Ap 08 Jan-10 Jan  008/010-008/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jan to 10 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm 01%01%01%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%15%
Minor storm 05%05%05%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%

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