Viewing archive of Friday, 1 December 2006
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Dec 01 2204 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 335 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Dec 2006IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 926 (S09W04)
produced today's only B-class event, a B1 at 0824Z. Region 926 and
927 (N09E06) were very stable and quiet during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days (2-4 December).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (2-4 December).
III. Event Probabilities 02 Dec to 04 Dec
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Dec 084 Predicted 02 Dec-04 Dec 085/085/085 90 Day Mean 01 Dec 080
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Nov 015/028 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Dec 005/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Dec-04 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Dec to 04 Dec
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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