Viewing archive of Tuesday, 6 December 2005

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2005 Dec 06 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 340 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Dec 2005

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active periods are possible on 07 December.
III. Event Probabilities 07 Dec to 09 Dec
Class M10%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       06 Dec 089
  Predicted   07 Dec-09 Dec  090/090/085
  90 Day Mean        06 Dec 086
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 05 Dec  002/002
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 06 Dec  003/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 07 Dec-09 Dec  008/010-005/005-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Dec to 09 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%15%15%
Minor storm10%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%15%20%
Minor storm10%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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