Viewing archive of Monday, 5 December 2005

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2005 Dec 05 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 339 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Dec 2005

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 826 (S06W35) continues to decrease in area.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active periods are possible on 07 December.
III. Event Probabilities 06 Dec to 08 Dec
Class M10%10%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       05 Dec 092
  Predicted   06 Dec-08 Dec  090/090/090
  90 Day Mean        05 Dec 086
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 04 Dec  003/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 05 Dec  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 06 Dec-08 Dec  005/007-008/012-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Dec to 08 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%20%15%
Minor storm05%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%25%20%
Minor storm10%15%10%
Major-severe storm01%05%01%

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