Viewing archive of Tuesday, 8 November 2005

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2005 Nov 08 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 312 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Nov 2005

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 09 and 10 November. On 11 November, a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is expected to move into geoeffective position causing unsettled to active conditions with minor storm periods possible.
III. Event Probabilities 09 Nov to 11 Nov
Class M05%05%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       08 Nov 079
  Predicted   09 Nov-11 Nov  080/080/075
  90 Day Mean        08 Nov 084
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 07 Nov  006/006
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 08 Nov  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov  005/008-008/010-012/020
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Nov to 11 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%20%25%
Minor storm05%10%15%
Major-severe storm01%01%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%35%
Minor storm10%10%20%
Major-severe storm01%01%10%

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