Viewing archive of Monday, 7 November 2005

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2005 Nov 07 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 311 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Nov 2005

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for isolated C-flares from Region 820 (S16W54).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 08 and 09 November. Mostly unsettled conditions are possible on 10 November.
III. Event Probabilities 08 Nov to 10 Nov
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 Nov 079
  Predicted   08 Nov-10 Nov  080/080/080
  90 Day Mean        07 Nov 084
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 06 Nov  012/010
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 07 Nov  005/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov  005/005-005/005-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Nov to 10 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%20%
Minor storm05%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%20%
Minor storm05%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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