Viewing archive of Thursday, 11 August 2005

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2005 Aug 11 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 223 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Aug 2005

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. A new region was numbered today as Region 797 (S13E55).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Event Probabilities 12 Aug to 14 Aug
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       11 Aug 076
  Predicted   12 Aug-14 Aug  075/075/070
  90 Day Mean        11 Aug 094
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 10 Aug  009/022
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 11 Aug  006/006
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 12 Aug-14 Aug  008/008-010/015-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Aug to 14 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%20%20%
Minor storm05%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%30%25%
Minor storm10%15%10%
Major-severe storm01%05%05%

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