Viewing archive of Tuesday, 24 February 2004

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2004 Feb 24 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 055 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Feb 2004

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 564(N15E00) continues to increase in size, reaching 470 millionths today. The magnetic complexity of Region 564 remains relatively unchanged. A slight increase in X-ray background levels was observed starting around 1300Z. New Region 566(N05E21) was numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels. Region 564 has the potential for C-class flares.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Event Probabilities 25 Feb to 27 Feb
Class M 10%10%10%
Class X 01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       24 Feb 106
  Predicted    25 Feb-27 Feb  110/115/115
  90 Day Mean        24 Feb 113
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 23 Feb  009/008
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 24 Feb  010/014
  Predicted     Afr/Ap 25 Feb-27 Feb  010/012-012/015-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Feb to 27 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%20%15%
Minor storm 05%05%05%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%30%25%
Minor storm 10%10%10%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%

<< Go to daily overview page

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

91%

Latest alerts

Get instant alerts!

Space weather facts

Last X-flare:2017/09/10X8.2
Last M-flare:2017/10/20M1.0
Last geomagnetic storm:2019/05/14Kp7 (G3)
Number of spotless days in 2019:74
Last spotless day:2019/05/02

This day in history*

Solar flares
12000M1.1
22013C9.9
32000C8.5
42001C6.7
52013C6.3
ApG
1201513G1
2201712
3200712
4201311
5200211
*since 1994

Social networks