Viewing archive of Monday, 27 January 2003

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2003 Jan 27 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 027 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Jan 2003

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No significant events occurred in the past 24 hours. One new active region, 273 (N06W18), was born on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26-2100Z to 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speeds dropped to more normal levels near 450 km/s. Energetic electron fluxes at geosynchronous orbit attained high values during the interval.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to persist at quiet to unsettled conditions throughout the period.
III. Event Probabilities 28 Jan to 30 Jan
Class M10%10%10%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       27 Jan 121
  Predicted   28 Jan-30 Jan  120/120/125
  90 Day Mean        27 Jan 158
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 26 Jan  012/017
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 27 Jan  010/007
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 28 Jan-30 Jan  010/010-010/008-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Jan to 30 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%30%30%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

<< Go to daily overview page

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

48%

Space weather facts

Last X-flare2017/09/10X8.2
Last M-flare2020/05/29M1.1
Last geomagnetic storm2020/04/20Kp5 (G1)
Spotless days
Last 365 days316 days
2020125 days (80%)
Last spotless day2020/06/02

This day in history*

Solar flares
12000X2.3
22000X1.1
32000M7.1
42000M2.7
52012M2.1
ApG
1200626G1
2201623G1
3201323G1
4199418
5201217
*since 1994

Social networks