Viewing archive of Wednesday, 20 June 2001

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2001 Jun 20 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 171 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Jun 2001

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z

Solar activity remained at low levels. Region 9503 (N16W20) produced a C4/1f flare at 20/2044 UTC. It was the largest active region on the disk and maintained a minor degree of magnetic complexity. Region 9506 (N19E08) was stable and showed signs of gradual decay. Region 9501 (S13W50) produced a C4/Sf flare at 19/2326 UTC associated with a CME that was not Earth-directed. This region showed no significant changes during the period and remained a moderate-sized, simply-structured sunspot group. New Regions 9510 (S06W35) and 9511 (N11E53) were numbered.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels. An isolated M-class flare will be possible during the period.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at unsettled to active levels due to coronal hole effects.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during most of the period with brief active periods possible during the first day as coronal hole effects subside. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit may reach high levels during the first half of the forecast period.
III. Event Probabilities 21 Jun to 23 Jun
Class M40%40%40%
Class X10%10%10%
Proton10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       20 Jun 199
  Predicted   21 Jun-23 Jun  195/190/190
  90 Day Mean        20 Jun 174
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 19 Jun  012/014
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 20 Jun  015/015
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 21 Jun-23 Jun  012/013-010/011-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Jun to 23 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%25%25%
Minor storm15%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

<< Go to daily overview page

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!

23%
Support SpaceWeatherLive with our merchandise
Check out our merchandise

Latest alerts

Get instant alerts!

Space weather facts

Last X-flare2024/03/23X1.1
Last M-flare2024/03/28M6.1
Last geomagnetic storm2024/03/25Kp5 (G1)
Spotless days
Last spotless day2022/06/08
Monthly mean Sunspot Number
February 2024124.7 +1.7

This day in history*

Solar flares
12024M7.0
22001M6.17
32024M6.1
42000M4.46
52022M4.0
ApG
1200144G2
2200327G2
3199721G2
4201727G1
5200421G1
*since 1994

Social networks