SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE MOST INTERESTING EVENTS RECENTLY WERE SEEN IN THE CORONA. LATE YESTERDAY A REPORT OF A HALO CME ASSOCIATED WITH FLARE ACTIVITY IN REGION 9114 (N11W29) WAS RECEIVED. THE ACTIVITY WAS SEEN TO OCCUR AT 09/1630Z. TODAY A PARTIAL HALO CME, HEADED NORTH OF THE ECLIPTIC, OCCURRED AT 0654Z. THIS EVENT WAS POSSIBLY ASSOCIATED WITH CHROMOSPHERIC ACTIVITY IN REGION 9115 (N18W12). PROMINENCE ACTIVITY WAS SEEN AT S14W90 AND S27W90. SURGING WAS REPORTED AT N11E90. TWO NEW REGIONS CAME FULLY INTO VIEW, 9124 (S13E64) AND 9125 (N26E69). REGION 9124 IS THE LIKELY RETURN OF OLD 9087, THE PRODUCER OF M-CLASS ACTIVITY IN JULY.

SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 09/2100Z TO 10/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD VARIED FROM QUIET TO MINOR STORM CONDITIONS. A TRANSIENT WAS SEEN TO PASS ACE AT APPROXIMATELY 0400Z, FUELING THE HIGHER LEVELS OF ACTIVITY SEEN A FEW HOURS LATER. THIS CME DOES NOT HAVE AN OBVIOUS SOLAR SOURCE. ALTHOUGH THE SOLAR WIND SPEED HAS NOW RETURNED TO MORE NORMAL LEVELS, THE IMF BZ COMPONENT IS STILL SOUTHWARD, WITH A MAGNITUDE OF -10 NT.

THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. EFFECTS OF THE HALO CME OF 09 AUGUST ARE NOT ANTICIPATED UNTIL LATE IN THE INTERVAL.

  Observed       10 AUG 181
  Predicted   11 AUG-13 AUG  185/190/195
  90 Day Mean        10 AUG 191

OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 AUG  006/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 AUG  020/020
PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 AUG-13 AUG  010/012-010/012-015/018