Viewing archive of Saturday, 11 July 1998

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1998 Jul 11 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 192 Issued at 2200Z on 11 JUL 1998

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z

IB. Solar Activity Forecast

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast

III. Event Probabilities 12 JUL to 14 JUL

Class M	01%	01%	01%
Class X	01%	01%	01%
Proton	01%	01%	01%
PCAF	GREEN

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  Observed       11 JUL 108
  Predicted   12 JUL-14 JUL  106/105/104
  90 Day Mean        11 JUL 107

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

OBSERVED AFR/AP 10 JUL  005/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 11 JUL  010/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 12 JUL-14 JUL  010/008-005/008-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 JUL to 14 JUL

A. Middle Latitudes
Active	10%	10%	10%
Minor storm	05%	05%	05%
Major-severe storm	01%	01%	01%

B. High Latitudes
Active	20%	20%	20%
Minor storm	10%	10%	10%
Major-severe storm	05%	05%	05%

NOTICE: GOES-9 IS EXPERIENCING SEVERE ATTITUDE CONTROL PROBLEMS THAT OCCASIONALLY CAUSE THE LOSS OF X-RAY SENSOR DATA. GOES-10 IS BEING BROUGHT OUT OF STORAGE MODE AND WILL BE OPERATIONAL WITHIN THE NEXT WEEK. THERE MAY BE INTERMITTENT OR COMPLETE LOSS OF GOES-9 X-RAY DATA BEFORE GOES-10 BECOMES OPERATIONAL. GOES-8 DATA REMAIN VALID.

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