Viewing archive of Thursday, 9 July 1998

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1998 Jul 09 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 09 JUL 1998

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z

IB. Solar Activity Forecast

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast

III. Event Probabilities 10 JUL to 12 JUL

Class M	05%	05%	05%
Class X	01%	01%	01%
Proton	01%	01%	01%
PCAF	GREEN

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

  Observed       09 JUL 114
  Predicted   10 JUL-12 JUL  112/110/108
  90 Day Mean        09 JUL 107

V. Geomagnetic A Indices

OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 JUL  003/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 JUL  008/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 JUL-12 JUL  005/005-005/010-005/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 JUL to 12 JUL

A. Middle Latitudes
Active	10%	10%	10%
Minor storm	05%	05%	05%
Major-severe storm	01%	01%	01%

B. High Latitudes
Active	20%	20%	20%
Minor storm	10%	10%	10%
Major-severe storm	05%	05%	05%

NOTICE: GOES-9 IS EXPERIENCING SEVERE ATTITUDE CONTROL PROBLEMS THAT OCCASIONALLY CAUSE THE LOSS OF X-RAY SENSOR DATA. GOES-10 IS BEING BROUGHT OUT OF STORAGE MODE AND WILL BE OPERATIONAL WITHIN THE NEXT WEEK. THERE MAY BE INTERMITTENT OR COMPLETE LOSS OF GOES-9 X-RAY DATA BEFORE GOES-10 BECOMES OPERATIONAL. GOES-8 DATA REMAIN VALID.

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