Viewing archive of Sunday, 8 March 1998

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1998 Mar 08 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 067 Issued at 2200Z on 08 MAR 1998

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW DUE TO A SINGLE UNCORRELATED C1 FLARE AT 08/1924. THERE ARE CURRENTLY FOUR SPOTTED REGIONS ON THE VISIBLE DISK, WITH TWO NEW SMALL B-TYPE SPOT GROUPS, 8176 (S42E54) AND 8177 (S33W21), BEING NUMBERED SINCE LATE YESTERDAY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW TO LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 09 MAR to 11 MAR
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       08 MAR 091
  Predicted   09 MAR-11 MAR  092/094/096
  90 Day Mean        08 MAR 094
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 MAR  002/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 MAR  003/003
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 MAR-11 MAR  005/005-005/010-005/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 MAR to 11 MAR
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
PLAIN OBSERVED FLUX CHANGED FROM 092 TO 091

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