Viewing archive of Tuesday, 7 October 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Oct 07 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 280 Issued at 2200Z on 07 OCT 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW WITH MINOR ISOLATED LOW FREQUENCY SWEEPS AND BURSTS. A SPACE BASED SENSOR DETECTED A CORONAL MASS EJECTION OFF THE SE LIMB AT 06/1600Z WHICH MAY HAVE BEEN COINCIDENT WITH A LARGE DSF REPORTED AT 06/2230Z. A SECOND CORONAL MASS EJECTION WAS OBSERVED OFF THE WEST LIMB AT 07/1330Z BUT NO OPTICAL ACTIVITY WAS OBSERVED AT THAT TIME.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOW TO LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC WAS QUIET AT ALL LEVELS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOPHYSICAL FIELD IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET.
III. Event Probabilities 08 OCT to 10 OCT
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 OCT 084
  Predicted   08 OCT-10 OCT  085/086/087
  90 Day Mean        07 OCT 084
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 OCT  003/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 OCT  006/006
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 OCT-10 OCT  010/015-010/010-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 OCT to 10 OCT
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%10%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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